+$0 · +0.0%
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Avg. policy Kelly
- -
Full Kelly benchmark $10,000 · tracked $0 on $0 settled paper stake
Baseball
Track record
Follow recorded forecasts into market comparisons and results. Open any game to revisit its original evidence. Paper returns are a separate lens; no wagers are placed.
Retained daily results
70 dates available
Jul 24, 2026Oct 1, 2026
Older source decisions are backfilled incrementally by the hourly history sync.
Game history
First look vs. latest pregame
42 games unified from 131 stored model snapshots on 2026-08-21.
Games42
Settled5
First edge+2.5%
Pregame edge+2.4%
Average CLV-0.3%
Totals CLV-0.2%
| Game | Market | Result | First recommendation | Latest pregame | CLV | Model movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgersevt_129ymh66n5bb550Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassPittsburgh Pirates +198Model 44.7% · Market 33.6%Edge +11.1% · Full Kelly 16.8%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassPittsburgh Pirates +198Model 33.1% · Market 33.6%Edge -0.5% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+198 → +198Logit 0.000 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgersevt_129ymh66n5bb550Starts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 +109Model 47.3% · Market 47.9%Edge -0.5% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +109Model 48.1% · Market 47.9%Edge +0.2% · Full Kelly 0.4%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+109 → +109Logit 0.000 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgersevt_129ymh66n5bb550Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +114Model 50.8% · Market 46.7%Edge +4.1% · Full Kelly 7.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +114Model 50.8% · Market 46.7%Edge +4.0% · Full Kelly 7.6%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+114 → +114Logit 0.000 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Chicago Cubs at Seattle Marinersevt_129ymh66n8e012bStarts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +101Model 51.5% · Market 49.8%Edge +1.8% · Full Kelly 3.5%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 -103Model 49.7% · Market 50.7%Edge -1.0% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +1.0%+101 → -103Logit 0.040 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Chicago Cubs at Seattle Marinersevt_129ymh66n8e012bStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassSeattle Mariners -107Model 53.0% · Market 51.7%Edge +1.3% · Full Kelly 2.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassChicago Cubs -107Model 49.5% · Market 51.7%Edge -2.2% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed-107 → -107 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padresevt_129ymh66n0c87caStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassMinnesota Twins +129Model 44.9% · Market 43.7%Edge +1.2% · Full Kelly 2.2%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassSan Diego Padres -126Model 60.0% · Market 55.8%Edge +4.3% · Full Kelly 9.6%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed+129 → -126 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padresevt_129ymh66n0c87caStarts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 8.5 -126Model 52.3% · Market 55.8%Edge -3.5% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +101Model 48.1% · Market 49.8%Edge -1.7% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed-126 → +101 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacksevt_129ymh66n1633ebStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassCincinnati Reds +124Model 42.6% · Market 44.6%Edge -2.0% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassArizona Diamondbacks -154Model 64.6% · Market 60.6%Edge +4.0% · Full Kelly 10.1%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed+124 → -154 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacksevt_129ymh66n1633ebStarts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 +101Model 49.0% · Market 49.8%Edge -0.7% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +101Model 49.5% · Market 49.8%Edge -0.2% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+101 → +101Logit 0.000 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockiesevt_129ymh66nc0965cStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassColorado Rockies +129Model 43.9% · Market 43.7%Edge +0.2% · Full Kelly 0.4%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassColorado Rockies +129Model 42.0% · Market 43.7%Edge -1.7% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+129 → +129Logit 0.000 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockiesevt_129ymh66nc0965cStarts | TotalOpening line 10.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 10.5 +101Model 50.6% · Market 49.8%Edge +0.8% · Full Kelly 1.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 10.5 -107Model 50.2% · Market 51.7%Edge -1.5% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +1.9%+101 → -107Logit 0.078 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangersevt_129ymh66n0600cdStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassTexas Rangers -148Model 58.8% · Market 59.7%Edge -0.9% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassTexas Rangers -142Model 63.2% · Market 58.7%Edge +4.5% · Full Kelly 10.9%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -1.0%-148 → -142Logit -0.041 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangersevt_129ymh66n0600cdStarts | TotalOpening line 8.5Paper Kelly tracked | Lost1-2Paper stake $84 · P/L -$84 | Paper betOver 8.5 +152Model 45.2% · Market 40.2%Edge +5.0% · Full Kelly 9.1%Policy Kelly 0.8% · $84 | Paper betOver 8.5 +152Model 45.2% · Market 39.7%Edge +5.5% · Full Kelly 9.1%Policy Kelly 0.8% · $78 | -0.5%+152 → +152Logit -0.020 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangersevt_129ymh66n0600cdStarts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 7.5 +105Model 49.6% · Market 48.8%Edge +0.9% · Full Kelly 1.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 7.5 +105Model 49.9% · Market 48.8%Edge +1.1% · Full Kelly 2.2%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+105 → +105Logit 0.000 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royalsevt_129ymh66n1016c4Starts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 -103Model 49.2% · Market 50.7%Edge -1.5% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +109Model 49.4% · Market 47.9%Edge +1.6% · Full Kelly 3.1%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -2.9%-103 → +109Logit -0.116 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royalsevt_129ymh66n1016c4Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassKansas City Royals +101Model 49.4% · Market 49.8%Edge -0.4% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassDetroit Tigers -103Model 52.1% · Market 50.7%Edge +1.4% · Full Kelly 2.8%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed+101 → -103 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royalsevt_129ymh66n1016c4Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +109Model 49.4% · Market 47.9%Edge +1.6% · Full Kelly 3.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +109Model 49.4% · Market 47.9%Edge +1.6% · Full Kelly 3.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+109 → +109Logit 0.000 | 1 decision snapshots |
| Athletics at Houston Astrosevt_129ymh66ne90f91Starts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 +105Model 49.0% · Market 48.8%Edge +0.2% · Full Kelly 0.4%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 -103Model 49.7% · Market 50.7%Edge -1.0% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +2.0%+105 → -103Logit 0.078 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Athletics at Houston Astrosevt_129ymh66ne90f91Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassAthletics +159Model 47.6% · Market 38.6%Edge +9.0% · Full Kelly 14.6%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassHouston Astros -183Model 63.4% · Market 64.7%Edge -1.3% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed+159 → -183 | 5 decision snapshots |
| Athletics at Houston Astrosevt_129ymh66ne90f91Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +114Model 49.0% · Market 46.7%Edge +2.3% · Full Kelly 4.2%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +109Model 49.1% · Market 47.9%Edge +1.3% · Full Kelly 2.5%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +1.1%+114 → +109Logit 0.045 | 3 decision snapshots |
| New York Mets at Chicago White Soxevt_129ymh66n156c12Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassNew York Mets +124Model 43.4% · Market 44.6%Edge -1.2% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassChicago White Sox -131Model 57.9% · Market 56.7%Edge +1.2% · Full Kelly 2.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed+124 → -131 | 4 decision snapshots |
| New York Mets at Chicago White Soxevt_129ymh66n156c12Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +101Model 50.3% · Market 49.8%Edge +0.6% · Full Kelly 1.2%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +105Model 49.6% · Market 48.8%Edge +0.9% · Full Kelly 1.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -1.0%+101 → +105Logit -0.039 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Oriolesevt_129ymh66n990f7dStarts | TotalOpening line 12.5Paper Kelly tracked | Lost3-5Paper stake $119 · P/L -$119 | Paper betOver 12.5 +529Model 24.9% · Market 15.9%Edge +9.0% · Full Kelly 10.7%Policy Kelly 1.2% · $119 | Paper betOver 12.5 +529Model 24.9% · Market 15.9%Edge +9.0% · Full Kelly 10.7%Policy Kelly 1.3% · $125 | +0.0%+529 → +529Logit 0.000 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Oriolesevt_129ymh66n990f7dStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassTampa Bay Rays +109Model 49.6% · Market 47.9%Edge +1.8% · Full Kelly 3.4%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassTampa Bay Rays +101Model 53.5% · Market 49.8%Edge +3.8% · Full Kelly 7.5%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +1.9%+109 → +101Logit 0.076 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Oriolesevt_129ymh66n990f7dStarts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +101Model 49.6% · Market 49.8%Edge -0.2% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +101Model 48.7% · Market 49.8%Edge -1.1% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+101 → +101Logit 0.000 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Oriolesevt_129ymh66n990f7dStarts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 -103Model 49.5% · Market 50.7%Edge -1.2% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +105Model 49.3% · Market 48.8%Edge +0.5% · Full Kelly 1.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -2.0%-103 → +105Logit -0.078 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Washington Nationals at Miami Marlinsevt_129ymh66n57b934Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassWashington Nationals +124Model 47.1% · Market 44.6%Edge +2.5% · Full Kelly 4.4%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassWashington Nationals +129Model 46.4% · Market 43.7%Edge +2.7% · Full Kelly 4.8%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -1.0%+124 → +129Logit -0.039 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Washington Nationals at Miami Marlinsevt_129ymh66n57b934Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +105Model 50.9% · Market 48.8%Edge +2.1% · Full Kelly 4.1%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +101Model 50.5% · Market 49.8%Edge +0.8% · Full Kelly 1.5%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +1.0%+105 → +101Logit 0.039 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Washington Nationals at Miami Marlinsevt_129ymh66n57b934Starts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 +101Model 47.9% · Market 49.8%Edge -1.8% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +101Model 48.0% · Market 49.8%Edge -1.8% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+101 → +101Logit 0.000 | 2 decision snapshots |
| San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Soxevt_129ymh66n6a4ac3Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassSan Francisco Giants +152Model 41.9% · Market 39.7%Edge +2.2% · Full Kelly 3.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassSan Francisco Giants +152Model 38.1% · Market 39.7%Edge -1.6% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+152 → +152Logit 0.000 | 4 decision snapshots |
| San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Soxevt_129ymh66n6a4ac3Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 7.5 -103Model 49.9% · Market 50.7%Edge -0.8% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 7.5 +105Model 50.8% · Market 48.8%Edge +2.0% · Full Kelly 4.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -2.0%-103 → +105Logit -0.078 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankeesevt_129ymh66n36d9cbStarts | TotalOpening line 6.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 6.5 +119Model 48.4% · Market 45.7%Edge +2.7% · Full Kelly 5.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 6.5 +119Model 48.4% · Market 45.7%Edge +2.7% · Full Kelly 5.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+119 → +119Logit 0.000 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankeesevt_129ymh66n36d9cbStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassToronto Blue Jays +189Model 45.9% · Market 34.6%Edge +11.3% · Full Kelly 17.3%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassToronto Blue Jays +173Model 41.0% · Market 36.6%Edge +4.4% · Full Kelly 6.9%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +2.0%+189 → +173Logit 0.089 | 5 decision snapshots |
| Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankeesevt_129ymh66n36d9cbStarts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 -112Model 51.2% · Market 52.8%Edge -1.6% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 7.5 +124Model 49.9% · Market 44.6%Edge +5.2% · Full Kelly 9.4%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed-112 → +124 | 4 decision snapshots |
| St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Philliesevt_129ymh66n296ca0Starts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassSt. Louis Cardinals +166Model 47.0% · Market 37.6%Edge +9.4% · Full Kelly 15.1%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassSt. Louis Cardinals +229Model 39.2% · Market 30.4%Edge +8.8% · Full Kelly 12.6%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -7.2%+166 → +229Logit -0.321 | 4 decision snapshots |
| St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Philliesevt_129ymh66n296ca0Starts | TotalOpening line 8.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassOver 8.5 +105Model 48.3% · Market 48.8%Edge -0.5% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassOver 8.5 +114Model 49.1% · Market 46.7%Edge +2.4% · Full Kelly 4.5%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -2.1%+105 → +114Logit -0.082 | 3 decision snapshots |
| St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Philliesevt_129ymh66n296ca0Starts | TotalOpening line 7.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 7.5 +101Model 50.5% · Market 49.8%Edge +0.8% · Full Kelly 1.5%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 7.5 +105Model 49.7% · Market 48.8%Edge +0.9% · Full Kelly 1.8%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | -1.0%+101 → +105Logit -0.039 | 2 decision snapshots |
| Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewersevt_129ymh66ncf8a5dStarts | TotalOpening line 7.5Paper Kelly tracked | Lost1-2Paper stake $200 · P/L -$200 | Paper betOver 7.5 +206Model 47.9% · Market 33.1%Edge +14.7% · Full Kelly 22.5%Policy Kelly 2.0% · $200 | Paper betOver 7.5 +206Model 47.9% · Market 33.1%Edge +14.7% · Full Kelly 22.5%Policy Kelly 2.0% · $200 | +0.0%+206 → +206Logit 0.000 | 1 decision snapshots |
| Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewersevt_129ymh66ncf8a5dStarts | TotalOpening line 5.5Decision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassUnder 5.5 +109Model 48.5% · Market 47.9%Edge +0.7% · Full Kelly 1.3%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassUnder 5.5 +109Model 47.7% · Market 47.9%Edge -0.1% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | +0.0%+109 → +109Logit 0.000 | 3 decision snapshots |
| Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewersevt_129ymh66ncf8a5dStarts | MoneylineDecision tracked · no bet | PendingAwaiting final | PassAtlanta Braves +119Model 43.6% · Market 45.7%Edge -2.1% · Full Kelly 0.0%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | PassMilwaukee Brewers -142Model 59.4% · Market 58.7%Edge +0.7% · Full Kelly 1.7%Policy Kelly 0.0% · $0 | Selection / line changed+119 → -142 | 4 decision snapshots |
| Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewersevt_129ymh66ncf8a5dStarts | TotalOpening line 10.5Paper Kelly tracked | Lost1-2Paper stake $160 · P/L -$160 | Paper betOver 10.5 +685Model 24.2% · Market 12.7%Edge +11.5% · Full Kelly 13.2%Policy Kelly 1.6% · $160 | Paper betOver 10.5 +685Model 24.2% · Market 12.7%Edge +11.5% · Full Kelly 13.2%Policy Kelly 1.6% · $160 | +0.0%+685 → +685Logit 0.000 | 1 decision snapshots |
| Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewersevt_129ymh66ncf8a5dStarts | TotalOpening line 6.5Paper Kelly tracked | Lost1-2Paper stake $200 · P/L -$200 | Paper betOver 6.5 +124Model 59.9% · Market 45.7%Edge +14.2% · Full Kelly 27.5%Policy Kelly 2.0% · $200 | Paper betOver 6.5 +124Model 59.9% · Market 45.7%Edge +14.2% · Full Kelly 27.5%Policy Kelly 2.0% · $200 | +0.0%+124 → +124Logit 0.000 | 3 decision snapshots |
Paper portfolio & staking results
Paper Bankroll
Daily and cumulative return
The published recommended-Kelly stakes roll forward from a $10,000 synthetic bankroll. Daily return measures settled profit or loss against that morning's bankroll; cumulative return compounds each day. Idle days stay flat. This chart begins on Aug 21, the first settled paper bet in the retained read model; it does not imply that earlier games were replayed.
- Current bankroll
- $9,237
- Cumulative
- -7.6%
- Best day
- -7.6%
- Worst day
- -7.6%
- Settled bets
- 5
Cumulative bankroll return
Daily bankroll return
Kelly Performance
Recommended Kelly bets by market
This is a strategy comparison, not a second cumulative-return chart. The chart above follows the one published paper bankroll through time. Here, each market/checkpoint starts its own $10,000 bankroll so opening vs. pregame and policy Kelly vs. full Kelly can be compared on equal footing. No wagers are placed.
+$0 · +0.0%
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Avg. policy Kelly
- -
Full Kelly benchmark $10,000 · tracked $0 on $0 settled paper stake
-$740 · -7.4%
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 0-5
- Avg. policy Kelly
- 1.5%
Full Kelly benchmark $3,957 · tracked -$763 on $763 settled paper stake · -100.0% ROI
-$740 · -7.4%
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 0-5
- Avg. policy Kelly
- 1.5%
Full Kelly benchmark $3,957 · tracked -$763 on $763 settled paper stake · -100.0% ROI
Portfolio risk · correlated moneyline and totals exposure
This measures how often both markets clear the 5.0% edge gate on the same game. It is a concentration diagnostic for the paper portfolio, not a model quality score.
- Both markets priced
- 15
- Both cleared
- 0
- Rate
- 0.0%