Model

1. #1
   Matchup edge: season run differential30.15% attention · used in 18 model rules

   The home team's season run differential minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   Game data
2. #2
   Matchup edge: expected winning percentage from runs scored and allowed14.76% attention · used in 17 model rules

   The home team's expected winning percentage from runs scored and allowed minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   Game data
3. #3
   playoff wild card margin (matchup edge)9.76% attention · used in 21 model rules

   A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
   Game data
4. #4
   mgr win rate career (matchup edge)7.79% attention · used in 24 model rules

   A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
   Game data
5. #5
   Matchup edge: runs allowed per game this season7.36% attention · used in 14 model rules

   The home team's runs allowed per game this season minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   Game data
6. #6
   Matchup edge: the starter's prior-year xFIP (lower is better)7.18% attention · used in 23 model rules

   The home team's the starter's prior-year xFIP (lower is better) minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   FanGraphs
7. #7
   Matchup edge: the starter's prior-year strikeout-minus-walk rate4.79% attention · used in 18 model rules

   The home team's the starter's prior-year strikeout-minus-walk rate minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   FanGraphs
8. #8
   Matchup edge: the starter's strikeouts per nine this season3.18% attention · used in 14 model rules

   The home team's the starter's strikeouts per nine this season minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   Game data
9. #9
   Matchup edge: the starter's season-to-date strikeout-minus-walk rate1.82% attention · used in 8 model rules

   The home team's the starter's season-to-date strikeout-minus-walk rate minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
   FanGraphs
10. #10
    Matchup edge: the starter's season-to-date xFIP (lower is better)1.66% attention · used in 7 model rules

    The home team's the starter's season-to-date xFIP (lower is better) minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
    FanGraphs
11. #11
    playoff leverage (matchup edge)1.66% attention · used in 4 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
12. #12
    Matchup edge: batters the starter has faced this season (evidence weight)1.32% attention · used in 6 model rules

    The home team's batters the starter has faced this season (evidence weight) minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
    Game data
13. #13
    playoff cutoff proximity (matchup edge)1.01% attention · used in 4 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
14. #14
    win rate l30 (matchup edge)0.96% attention · used in 3 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
15. #15
    Combined level: runs allowed per game this season0.67% attention · used in 3 model rules

    The two teams' average runs allowed per game this season. It describes the overall quality or run environment of the matchup rather than which side is favored.
    Game data
16. #16
    Matchup edge: runs allowed per game over the last 10 games0.64% attention · used in 2 model rules

    The home team's runs allowed per game over the last 10 games minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
    Game data
17. #17
    Matchup edge: the starter's ERA over the last 30 days0.55% attention · used in 3 model rules

    The home team's the starter's ERA over the last 30 days minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
    Game data
18. #18
    Combined level: the starter's prior-year xFIP (lower is better)0.55% attention · used in 3 model rules

    The two teams' average the starter's prior-year xFIP (lower is better). It describes the overall quality or run environment of the matchup rather than which side is favored.
    FanGraphs
19. #19
    pitch mix quality gap (matchup edge)0.54% attention · used in 2 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
20. #20
    Combined level: bullpen fatigue risk0.34% attention · used in 2 model rules

    The two teams' average bullpen fatigue risk. It describes the overall quality or run environment of the matchup rather than which side is favored.
    Game data
21. #21
    pitch mix alignment same hand (matchup edge)0.22% attention · used in 1 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
22. #22
    pitch mix breaking interaction (matchup edge)0.22% attention · used in 1 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
23. #23
    Matchup edge: the bullpen's ERA over the last 7 days0.19% attention · used in 1 model rules

    The home team's the bullpen's ERA over the last 7 days minus the away team's. It isolates which club has the advantage on this input; a positive number favors the home team.
    Game data
24. #24
    bullpen closer outs 7d (combined level)0.19% attention · used in 1 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data
25. #25
    bullpen ip 3d (combined level)0.18% attention · used in 1 model rules

    A supporting baseball input used by the model. Its plain-language definition has not been added to this report yet.
    Game data

Showing the top 25 of 81 features from Jul 15, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC.