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- 0
- Paper bets
- 0
- Paper risked
- 0.0%
- Settled
- 0/0
- Paper P/L
- —
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About market-implied probabilities
Moneyline odds converted to break-even win probabilities, including bookmaker margin. These figures are not adjusted to sum to 100%. Positive odds use 100 / (odds + 100); negative odds use |odds| / (|odds| + 100).
Model selections:PendingWould winWould losePush
No games found for this date.The live schedule and stored decision history are both empty.
Yesterday
Results by game
October 1, 2026
No settled paper bets
- Games
- 4
- Paper bets
- 0
- Paper risked
- 0.0%
- Settled
- 0/0
- Paper P/L
- —
- No settled paper bets
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About market-implied probabilities
Moneyline odds converted to break-even win probabilities, including bookmaker margin. These figures are not adjusted to sum to 100%. Positive odds use 100 / (odds + 100); negative odds use |odds| / (|odds| + 100).
Model selections:PendingWould winWould losePush
Status unavailableChicago White SoxStarting pitcher: Starter TBDChicago White Sox score: —Chicago White Sox Tree win probability: 48.0%Chicago White Sox Tabular win probability: 49.2%Chicago White Sox Blend win probability: 49.4%Chicago White Sox implied probability: 52.8%Chicago White Sox moneyline: -112Houston AstrosStarting pitcher: Starter TBDHouston Astros score: —Houston Astros Tree win probability: 52.0%Houston Astros Tabular win probability: 50.8%Houston Astros Blend win probability: 50.6%Houston Astros implied probability: 53.7%Houston Astros moneyline: -116Pregame forecast · Total runsModel 8.8Market —No decision recorded
Tree-model drivers
Saved tree-model evidence; these contributions do not explain the blend.
- Team performance from runs scored and allowed · toward Chicago White SoxTree-model contribution: -0.041 log-oddsFeature:
pythag_symdiff - Runs allowed per game this season · toward Chicago White SoxTree-model contribution: -0.032 log-oddsFeature:
rapg_ytd_symdiff - Manager career winning percentage · toward Houston AstrosTree-model contribution: +0.025 log-oddsFeature:
mgr_win_rate_career_symdiff
Status unavailableBoston Red SoxStarting pitcher: Starter TBDBoston Red Sox score: —Boston Red Sox Tree win probability: 44.6%Boston Red Sox Tabular win probability: 43.6%Boston Red Sox Blend win probability: 44.5%Boston Red Sox implied probability: 53.7%Boston Red Sox moneyline: -116New York YankeesStarting pitcher: Starter TBDNew York Yankees score: —New York Yankees Tree win probability: 55.4%New York Yankees Tabular win probability: 56.4%New York Yankees Blend win probability: 55.5%Model selection: pendingNew York Yankees implied probability: 49.8%New York Yankees moneyline: +101Pregame forecast · Total runsModel 8.6Market —No decision recorded
Tree-model drivers
Saved tree-model evidence; these contributions do not explain the blend.
- Team performance from runs scored and allowed · toward New York YankeesTree-model contribution: +0.053 log-oddsFeature:
pythag_symdiff - Season run differential · toward New York YankeesTree-model contribution: +0.044 log-oddsFeature:
run_diff_ytd_symdiff - Start-of-day margin above or below the wild-card cutoff · toward New York YankeesTree-model contribution: +0.034 log-oddsFeature:
playoff_wild_card_margin_symdiff
Recorded starter pitch mixes
Boston Red Sox Through 2026-09-24
- breaking
- 27%
- fastball
- 65%
- offspeed
- 7%
- other
- 1%
New York Yankees Through 2026-09-23
- breaking
- 40%
- fastball
- 52%
- offspeed
- 9%
- other
- 0%
FinalPhiladelphia PhilliesStarting pitcher: Starter TBDPhiladelphia Phillies score: 2Philadelphia Phillies Tree win probability: 45.1%Philadelphia Phillies Tabular win probability: 42.1%Philadelphia Phillies Blend win probability: 43.6%Philadelphia Phillies implied probability: 52.4%Philadelphia Phillies moneyline: -110Atlanta BravesStarting pitcher: Starter TBDAtlanta Braves score: 6Atlanta Braves Tree win probability: 54.9%Atlanta Braves Tabular win probability: 57.9%Atlanta Braves Blend win probability: 56.4%Model selection: would winAtlanta Braves implied probability: 51.5%Atlanta Braves moneyline: -106Pregame forecast · Total runsModel 8.8Market 7.5Over 7.5 · +1.3 runsWould win ✓ · Final 8No decision recorded
Tree-model drivers
Saved tree-model evidence; these contributions do not explain the blend.
- Team performance from runs scored and allowed · toward Atlanta BravesTree-model contribution: +0.059 log-oddsFeature:
pythag_symdiff - Prior-year lineup hitting · toward Philadelphia PhilliesTree-model contribution: -0.053 log-oddsFeature:
lineup_fg_wrc_plus_prior_symdiff - Runs allowed per game this season · toward Atlanta BravesTree-model contribution: +0.044 log-oddsFeature:
rapg_ytd_symdiff
Status unavailableChicago CubsStarting pitcher: Starter TBDChicago Cubs score: —Chicago Cubs Tree win probability: 49.0%Chicago Cubs Tabular win probability: 47.7%Chicago Cubs Blend win probability: 48.6%Chicago Cubs implied probability: 49.8%Chicago Cubs moneyline: +101San Diego PadresStarting pitcher: Starter TBDSan Diego Padres score: —San Diego Padres Tree win probability: 51.0%San Diego Padres Tabular win probability: 52.3%San Diego Padres Blend win probability: 51.4%San Diego Padres implied probability: 53.7%San Diego Padres moneyline: -116Pregame forecast · Total runsModel 8.0Market —No decision recorded
Tree-model drivers
Saved tree-model evidence; these contributions do not explain the blend.
- Team performance from runs scored and allowed · toward Chicago CubsTree-model contribution: -0.049 log-oddsFeature:
pythag_symdiff - Start-of-day playoff-race leverage · toward Chicago CubsTree-model contribution: -0.044 log-oddsFeature:
playoff_leverage_symdiff - Start-of-day margin above or below the wild-card cutoff · toward San Diego PadresTree-model contribution: +0.034 log-oddsFeature:
playoff_wild_card_margin_symdiff